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I don't care for social engineering, but our new Mayor is hinting that he likes it. Options
DJGray
Posted: Thursday, March 13, 2008 6:47:47 PM

Rank: Administration
Groups: Administrator , Member

Joined: 1/11/2008
Posts: 276
Location: Bellingham, WA
In a recent interview with the Whatcom Indy, Mayor Pike was asked:

Q: What about transportation issues in Bellingham, with some arterials being allowed to go to Level F? How do you see the future of transportation in the city?

Very, very, very good question.

This is a killer issue, and I experienced a bit of consternation as I read his responses. I'll quote his responses below and give you the "off the top o' my head" thoughts. I reserve to right to "revise and extend" my remarks at a later date. Wink I'm very tired and may not be thinking as clearly as I'd like to be.

Here we go...

Mayor Dan Pike wrote:
One of the things I’m trying to educate folks about, and to be clear some folks already understand this, is that I think we need to change our thinking from moving vehicles to moving people.


Okay... for starters, I find that condescending. "I'm educating the peasants." We don't need to be educated. We need the City to be responsive to our transportation needs. That's their job. Yo? But to be fair, let's look at Mayor Dan's remarks and see if he clarifies what he means by this.

Mayor Dan Pike wrote:
Unfortunately, our current transportation analysis is all predicated on moving vehicles. Level of service F means everything is congested and cars can’t move very well.


Correct! That's the problem, and rather than fix it, the previous City Council just changed the LOS to "F" so the the congestion was considered within acceptable limits. That's not leadership. That's not even a Band Aid. That's the ostrich hiding it's head in the sand under the pretense that there is no problem.

Let's read on:

Mayor Dan Pike wrote:
The reality is when there’s level of service F for cars, it’s still pretty wide open for bikes, and frequently might in fact be faster on a bike.


This response is just absurd. We're not living in Mayberry (you younger folks may not get that reference), and I'm not going to ride my bike from the top of Alabama Hill to Costco and back, as if I could actually carry my purchases home on my bicycle anyway. And while we're in this arena of flapdoodle, let's just state here and now, I'm not carrying my groceries home on WTA either. I'm not going to purchase a trunkload of groceries, bus them home, and then carry them in my beefy, manly arms the remaining six blocks from the bus stop to my front porch.

We need to move from the realm of supernal bliss to reality! We're a city pushing 80,000 right now, and we're not all going to vehiculate ourselves around Bellingham on knobby-tired bicycles, or on buses.

Mayor Dan Pike wrote:
What larger cities do is give some priority to buses, so you can move more people with the same road capacity. You might start by having some bus priority lanes right at intersections, where buses get to move ahead of the queue. Over time, as an area develops, when there’s sufficient population to warrant it, you might actually have a dedicated bus lane, which they have in Seattle and other places.


Here, Mayor Dan makes it clear that he is favoring the social engineering model in which local legislators see it as their responsibility NOT to fix the problem and pain we are enduring, but rather to utilize the pain of the present situation to achieve an alternate goal; get us out of our cars.

Now, the argument can be made, and it is a debate I've had with others, but the debate rarely stays on topic. The topic of debate here is "What is the role of the Mayor and Council?" Given his answers in this interview, I'm confident, Mayor Dan would say his responsibility is to accomplish an environmental greater good by moving us from our cars to vehicles powered by "humanergy" or to mass transit. This is a goal explicitly stated by Councilwoman Barbara Ryan when the previous council refused to address the LOS problem. I just disagree with this as a starting point.

I believe it is the responsibility of the Mayor and Council to SOLVE the problem before us rather than redefine it. Traffic is a @#$#%^ mess, especially around 8:00AM and 5:00PM. Fix it! If we can agree on that as the probelem and the goal, then we can begin to discuss how to get from point A to point Z. But I refuse to accept that the role of the Council and the Mayor is to socially engineer me into a position I don't want to be in.

Now, we move to a real eyeball roller:

Mayor Dan Pike wrote:

We also should be having conversations with the county. The arterials that are congested are congested not because of residents of Bellingham but because the county is at times allowing inappropriate levels of growth, which drives a lot of traffic into the jobs in Bellingham.


Let's do some translational work here. "It's not our fault."

Good grief man. Grow a spine! That is such a cop-out. Methinks we are dealing with an individual who either does not accept, or does not understand the Growth Management Act. I do not pretend that the issue of urban growth is an easy one, but I'm not going to look at poor decision making by the Bellingham City Council and respond to it by pointing fingers at the county!

Now, put on our corporate thinking-caps and let's digest this next profundity...

Mayor Dan Pike wrote:
One of the reasons that growth is happening outside of Bellingham is that it’s being allowed to happen. It doesn’t mean that it should be happening.

Shocked

Mayor Dan Pike wrote:
If you tighten up what’s allowed outside of Bellingham, then more will happen in Bellingham...


Well, where, Dan? Which neighborhoods are going to accept this growth? Edgemoore? Tweed Twenty? South Hill? Who is standing in line with hand eagerly raised saying, "Please, oh please, increase the density of our neighborhood?"

Look, I understand the desire to prevent "sprawl" however we decide to define that. (Believe it or not, there is not universal agreement on what sprawl actually is.) But if we are going to do this, and do so without violating the GMA, then we have to have areas ready, willing and able to receive the increased population. However that happens, we must remain inside the sphere of reality, and understand that this will intensify the traffic woes we currently endure.

This is not rocket science. More people within the city limits, increases congestion. Increasing urban density may well be a reasonable response to the desire to prevent sprawl, but it is not a solution for our current LOS violations.

Mark Twain wrote:

A lie can travel halfway around the world while the truth is putting its shoes on.

  • Mark Twain


  • Baron Miller wrote:

    Grace ruins the idea that you are fully in charge.

  • Baron Miller



  • Poindexter Prometheus Parkenfarker
    Posted: Thursday, March 13, 2008 7:02:45 PM

    Rank: New Member
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    Joined: 1/9/2008
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    Location: Zeta Reticuli
    Collectivism is the enemy of all free men...

    You better laugh at yourself,
    Everyone else is.

    www.parkenfarkergroup.blogspot.com
    Stan Snapp
    Posted: Sunday, March 23, 2008 9:50:54 PM

    Rank: New Member
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    Joined: 1/9/2008
    Posts: 51
    Location: Bellingham
    Damon,
    I've been sick with the crud this week so I missed the Council Transportation work session last Wednesday. Tonight I was viewing the video which is now posted on COB.ORG, click on City Council and Agenda's, video's

    If you want to get to the LOS meat of the presentation, fast forward your media player to 35 minutes in and watch about ten minutes worth. Dick McKinley addresses LOS and traffic concurrency. It doesn't address your concerns about major trips to Costco, etc. but it does lay out the concepts in a way that makes sense to those of us neophyte's. Dick claims that it's not an attempt at "social engineering" as it is addressing transportation in a way that makes sense. See if this makes sense to you and if not I know I'll hear from you on it; right?
    DJGray
    Posted: Monday, March 24, 2008 11:58:14 AM

    Rank: Administration
    Groups: Administrator , Member

    Joined: 1/11/2008
    Posts: 276
    Location: Bellingham, WA
    Stan,

    Sorry to hear you got hit with "the crud." I've been fortunate enough to escape it thus far, even though it hit three or four people on my team at work pretty hard. Took one guy out for a whole week.

    I'll take a look at Dick's presentation and see what he has to say on it. Thanks for the heads up on that.



    Mark Twain wrote:

    A lie can travel halfway around the world while the truth is putting its shoes on.

  • Mark Twain


  • Baron Miller wrote:

    Grace ruins the idea that you are fully in charge.

  • Baron Miller



  • DJGray
    Posted: Thursday, March 27, 2008 5:32:17 PM

    Rank: Administration
    Groups: Administrator , Member

    Joined: 1/11/2008
    Posts: 276
    Location: Bellingham, WA
    Stan,

    I watched Dick's presentation, and if we accept his assumptions, then yes, it makes sense. To some degree, it makes sense generically regardless. He wants to avoid spending money unnecessarily, and I'm all for that. What I would challenge is the graph he produced.

    Dick's graph looked something like this:


    If Dick is correct, then his logic carries more validity. However, my experience driving various roads in question is that they have an LOS more like this:


    Clearly, this is experiential, and it may be that a traffic study needs to be done, but if my scenario is closer to reality than Dick's, then his line of reasoning becomes invalid, and corrective action needs to be taken on these roads.



    Mark Twain wrote:

    A lie can travel halfway around the world while the truth is putting its shoes on.

  • Mark Twain


  • Baron Miller wrote:

    Grace ruins the idea that you are fully in charge.

  • Baron Miller



  • Stan Snapp
    Posted: Tuesday, April 01, 2008 5:38:30 AM

    Rank: New Member
    Groups: Member

    Joined: 1/9/2008
    Posts: 51
    Location: Bellingham
    Damon,
    Still not over the crud.......Two weeks and counting..........
    My informal chart would agree with yours. I've questioned the traffic "engineers" on these counts and asked them how it is that we have afternoon peaks, huge spikes, and yet most of those same commuting vehicles drove in the reverse direction in the morning without a spike. It stands to reason that if you drive in to work, eight hours plus lunch time will have you driving home in the same time frame as your morning commute. They just say that my logic is right but the statistics don't agree. My other concern with circulation, well two actually is one that, as you point out getting out of the car is only good for certain kinds of commutes. I look forward to cycling in on the Railroad trail for about six months of the year when I have time around my meeting schedule to do so. That's a percentage of commute that gets me off the arterials, bravo me. However, I'm not going to cycle out Meridian, period and if I were I could haul my 60 pound bag of dog food home from Costco so those trip will take a car every time. Likewise I'm not cycling in the blowing rain, snow or just plain cold below say, forty degrees. I love to ride and certainly need the exercise but at 67 years young I'm not beating myself up just to keep my car off the road. There is a limit to my willingness to abuse myself for this, admittedly good cause. I do think that we can do more to encourage the large employers to stagger their work shift times to help reduce the afternoon peak spike. That only buys time until we have to take some other measure. The larger question is this: on Sunset Drive we just spent millions and millions to widen this busy street from I-5 east to Woburn and now we're gearing up to widen the next section out to the street that serves the high school. Were those millions well spent or did we just move the problem further east by a couple of miles at a very high cost? The answer is the reason two Council members voted no and I have to weigh in on that issue the next time we get one of these on the Agenda. As Dick McKinley says, can we pave our way out of these LOS issues, indefinately without looking like many other communities that we don't want to be like? Not an exact quote but you get the idea and my answer is "NO" we don't want to Californicate Bellingham.
    DJGray
    Posted: Tuesday, April 01, 2008 8:10:17 AM

    Rank: Administration
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    Joined: 1/11/2008
    Posts: 276
    Location: Bellingham, WA
    I think your post illustrates beautifully what I'm trying to say with the opening of this thread.

    I have this life view that says, "What is, is." You and I (and everyone else) have habits and limits to what we will do for a cause. People are going to do what they are going to do, and what they are going to do is drive their cars. Call it lazy... Call it uncaring... non-environmentally sensitive... selfish... It really doesn't matter. They're going to do what they are going to do. We can argue endlessly about what should be done, but that is pointless. This is what people are going to do. Our task (your task) is to decide how best to address the LOS problem, given the reality of people's choices. That's the puzzle/dilemma that is laid on your plate.

    One approach, endorsed last year by Barbara Ryan, was to force the issue by not widening the roads. The idea is to make it so painful to drive, that people will be forced into other options. That's social engineering, and I don't like that. Another approach is to widen the roads, allowing for a greater traffic flow. That will fix the problem; no question about it. Some have objected that this is "enabling" and will lead to the Californication you mentioned above, so while it fixes the LOS issue, it carries with it a potential for unintended consequences. There are hypothetical ties to sprawl (however we define it), and arguments going both ways on this.

    I don't envy you your task, and only hope that everyone will take the discussion as seriously as I believe you are taking it.

    Mark Twain wrote:

    A lie can travel halfway around the world while the truth is putting its shoes on.

  • Mark Twain


  • Baron Miller wrote:

    Grace ruins the idea that you are fully in charge.

  • Baron Miller



  • Stan Snapp
    Posted: Tuesday, April 01, 2008 4:33:34 PM

    Rank: New Member
    Groups: Member

    Joined: 1/9/2008
    Posts: 51
    Location: Bellingham
    Not only that, but it's an on-going and evolving issue. While it's true that people will do what they will do, it's also true that people change their habits. A recent study shows that more people are using alternative modes of transportation than in the recent past. There are at least two factors that stand out. One is the doubling of the price of fuel in recent years. I think there is a trend that finds people combining trips and planning to do multiple errands on one trip rather than lot's of single trips. I know I feel badly when I don't complete all of my errands on one trip. The other is the statistic that WTA ridership is up every month. Last Fall we explained it by saying it's because WWU students have annual passes for the first time. That didn't hold up because it's not just students, ridership is up everywhere in the system. Then we thought the increased GO lines added in January on Lakeway were the reason but that isn't holding up either. WTA drivers tell us that more and more middle class and working people are taking the bus. The other factor in the study is that commuting to work represents only 19% of trips. Shopping is 20% and Leisure is 35%. In my mind these numbers leave room for lot's of choices about when we travel and how efficiently we utilize our fuel dollars. Hybrid sales are through the roof which indicates to me, not only people wanting to save fuel but a new conscience around people wanting to use resources efficiently. I'm coming around to the belief that my symplistic answers of the past just don't work. That doesn't mean I'm happy to wait in traffic, I left the Seattle area for Bellingham in 1967 and never looked back. I hate traffic so these decisions will not be made easily and I know I still have a lot to learn. As a famous golfer once said, "the more I practice the luckier I get". It's not a perfect comparison but I do think that being open to getting smarter is a good thing. Damon, thanks for this forum, I do appreciate your take and your perspective.
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